NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5e10214e5401ac09c337f728d2c893b2086e6a7d20d2b5952944ca342d7654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,326 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 3,593$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.02 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 70c | 2,731$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.43 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 2,195$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.76 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 30c | 1,753$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.66 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…cb9dbacked Under | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…8ad3backed Under | 73c | 1,190$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 71c | 853$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.37 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…7dcdbacked Under | 73c | 660$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 29c | 509.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 29c | 446$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 28c | 420.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 78c | 339.95$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 71c | 218.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 70c | 155.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 132.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 71c | 129$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 71c | 122$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 70c | 63.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 51c | 53.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 49c | 42.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 17.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 72c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Maple LeafsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.