Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffd15f0994a2e39d3f5ec283f6caf26000be83e2bb45bd0c1603caa44cb2df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,012$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 2,824$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.55 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 52c | 1,983$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.91 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,580$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.61 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 54c | 997.78$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 963.05$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.05 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 330.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 53c | 304.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 276.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 241.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 199.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 53c | 199.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 49c | 178.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 107.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 82.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 49.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 47.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 45c | 41.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…737bbacked Over | 46c | 41.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 54c | 29.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 46c | 26.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 51c | 25.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5this page
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin BadgersHigh Point Panthers won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 165.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 166.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 167.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-13.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-14.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-8.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.