TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under50c104,120$52,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,059.8444452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over50c87,424$43,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,712.235143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c17,260$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,933.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over50c15,454$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,732.2314346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over50c10,144$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.147231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over50c9,001$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.3614940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed Over43c8,100$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c6,339$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1070…03b6backed Under57c6,147$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c3,914$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.6625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Over50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c3,594$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.272,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce8…8663backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c2,768$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.3940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over47c2,082$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd14d…e2bfbacked Over48c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Over50c1,944$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.753751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Under57c1,884$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,651$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.1314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Under54c999.06$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.497450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over48c909.09$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.737447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under52c849.39$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.498843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c806.11$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.332,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70a…caf5backed Over45c793.37$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Over43c696.33$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.881735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c661.81$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c308.57$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over47c295.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.51,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c273.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Under57c237.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over47c218.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c190.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3131448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c190.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under54c175.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.665154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c173.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under57c173.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.145234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over42c171.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Under59c168.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.156555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over48c142.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9534343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c133.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c119.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Over47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.892147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over49c101.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.586963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5162451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5321455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.541442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under56c95.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.693551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Over47c94.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.34042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c81.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over40c81.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6712054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over43c80.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.996758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over45c79.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over47c79.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.038245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under50c64.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.395944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.097162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc056…7126backed Over50c62.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over49c58.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over49c58.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9933058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee68…6936backed Under50c53.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under58c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2671655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c46.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8311854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c45.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2729650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under56c44.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.786841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336e…71bcbacked Under47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over47c42.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.369952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under47c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6422756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over50c39.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.618748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under51c38.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2108…ce01backed Over48c30.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under58c29.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…6a88backed Over51c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under55c27.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.875740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over56c25.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Over47c25.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Over47c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under58c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4513457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4413343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c23.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0760954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Over42c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd493…d21abacked Over48c22.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over56c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf88…b16bbacked Over51c21.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over48c20.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.