Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17a7b7d3dd5a7ee6cbcb033837312d77f6d6ec81d51423d7603f6d9621ae825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 45,743$23,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,309.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 41,842$20,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,294.6 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 49c | 11,033$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.29 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 50c | 8,017$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.52 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,343$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,974$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.37 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 5,588$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.81 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…484dbacked Over | 49c | 3,776$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 50c | 3,566$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 3,441$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.39 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 3,070$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…5548backed Under | 51c | 1,944$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over | 48c | 1,912$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,753$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,513$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.59 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Under | 53c | 1,496$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Under | 51c | 1,319$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Under | 51c | 1,219$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.51 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Over | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 944.61$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 938.7$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.61 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 47c | 892.16$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 52c | 743.45$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under | 51c | 695.04$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 46c | 614.51$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 614.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 49c | 603.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 51c | 495.81$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Over | 49c | 427.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Over | 48c | 416.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 408.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 47c | 322.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under | 53c | 275.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 270.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 176.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 175.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Under | 52c | 114.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 95.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 58c | 71.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 54c | 67.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 64.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 48c | 58.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 48.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 51c | 48.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 37.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 52c | 30.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 64c | 30.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 29.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Under | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Under | 52c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Under | 46c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 61c | 19.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5this page
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin BadgersHigh Point Panthers won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 165.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 166.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 167.5Under won
- High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-13.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-14.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-8.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.