Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf70343254656492d99d5c09c67a771de01502bd4f3b084398316e49322027f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: High Point Panthersof Wisconsin Badgers, High Point Panthers
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $209,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,145 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43b6…9a9bbacked High Point Panthers	45c	44,950$20,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,508.13	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Wisconsin Badgers	56c	34,103$19,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,034.6	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wisconsin Badgers	56c	21,189$11,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,849.22	462	46.5%215 W · 247 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers	51c	12,424$6,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,344.69	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked High Point Panthers	44c	6,694$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,736.83	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed High Point Panthers	44c	5,941$2,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,329.71	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked High Point Panthers	43c	4,728$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,694.74	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Wisconsin Badgers	56c	3,974$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.67	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked High Point Panthers	44c	3,565$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,991.91	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed High Point Panthers	44c	2,774$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.41	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed High Point Panthers	45c	2,468$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.69	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed High Point Panthers	46c	1,907$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.59	277	55.2%153 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Wisconsin Badgers	54c	1,836$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.31	572	48.1%275 W · 297 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed High Point Panthers	46c	1,654$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.62	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked High Point Panthers	48c	1,566$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.87	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	1,120$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.4	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked High Point Panthers	45c	1,088$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.32	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wisconsin Badgers	53c	1,041$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.99	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked High Point Panthers	48c	1,033$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.93	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed High Point Panthers	48c	999.98$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.99	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa79e…5e9ebacked Wisconsin Badgers	52c	996.22$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.03	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed High Point Panthers	47c	915.17$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.64	251	45.8%115 W · 136 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed High Point Panthers	47c	817.32$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.18	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked High Point Panthers	43c	700$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed High Point Panthers	45c	609.09$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.03	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed High Point Panthers	44c	434.6$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.38	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed High Point Panthers	45c	308.42$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.63	1,251	50.6%633 W · 618 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed High Point Panthers	44c	299.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed High Point Panthers	44c	225.31$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.18	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed High Point Panthers	48c	222.91$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.91	185	56.8%105 W · 80 L	+14.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked High Point Panthers	45c	220.3$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.16	833	50.2%418 W · 415 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked High Point Panthers	44c	207.47$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.03	296	50.7%150 W · 146 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Wisconsin Badgers	50c	200.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.09	528	43.6%230 W · 298 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked High Point Panthers	45c	198.86$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.64	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Wisconsin Badgers	53c	198.33$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.67	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	198.25$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.09	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wisconsin Badgers	53c	187.03$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.12	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Wisconsin Badgers	56c	177.03$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.14	338	55%186 W · 152 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed High Point Panthers	44c	153$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.68	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed High Point Panthers	44c	150$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.5	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked High Point Panthers	44c	131.88$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wisconsin Badgers	45c	115.51$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	269	45.7%123 W · 146 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed High Point Panthers	44c	112.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.09	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed High Point Panthers	44c	99.14$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.52	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Wisconsin Badgers	54c	91.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	230	54.3%125 W · 105 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed High Point Panthers	44c	90.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.47	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+7.0wins	+0.22per pick	55cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Wisconsin Badgers	56c	88.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed High Point Panthers	45c	86.38$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.53	213	42.3%90 W · 123 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked High Point Panthers	45c	78.94$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked High Point Panthers	48c	76.92$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	76.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	326	52.8%172 W · 154 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed High Point Panthers	47c	73.02$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.99	576	55%317 W · 259 L	+17.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed High Point Panthers	46c	68.35$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.88	624	51.1%319 W · 305 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…d4f3backed High Point Panthers	49c	58.58$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked High Point Panthers	44c	56.51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	485	51.1%248 W · 237 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked High Point Panthers	47c	55.55$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.44	507	45.2%229 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked High Point Panthers	47c	53.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.23	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed High Point Panthers	47c	52.73$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.95	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed High Point Panthers	44c	52.19$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	353	38.5%136 W · 217 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Wisconsin Badgers	57c	51.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Wisconsin Badgers	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed High Point Panthers	44c	44.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked High Point Panthers	44c	44.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	241	48.5%117 W · 124 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed High Point Panthers	44c	44.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked High Point Panthers	47c	44.61$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.64	301	52.8%159 W · 142 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Wisconsin Badgers	56c	44.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked High Point Panthers	46c	43.47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Wisconsin Badgers	52c	40.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked High Point Panthers	47c	39.65$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.02	133	56.4%75 W · 58 L	+10.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ada…b8a0backed Wisconsin Badgers	53c	39.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed High Point Panthers	46c	36.46$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed High Point Panthers	47c	35.86$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed High Point Panthers	44c	32.35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	1,249	16.4%205 W · 1,044 L	-189.4wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed High Point Panthers	44c	31.54$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	330	58.2%192 W · 138 L	+24.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed High Point Panthers	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+10.4wins	+0.24per pick	48cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wisconsin Badgers	55c	24.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Wisconsin Badgers	53c	24.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed High Point Panthers	45c	24.73$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.49	198	48%95 W · 103 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee9…a6c1backed Wisconsin Badgers	70c	16.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)this page
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin BadgersHigh Point Panthers won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5Over won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5Over won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5Over won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 165.5Under won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 166.5Under won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 167.5Under won
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 172.5Under won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-13.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-14.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-8.5)High Point Panthers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event