La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9494188327b965cd404f9a09d61b4d4ff89631e1b2c3879c88d2a844dbd9efd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 9,966$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 17c | 8,613$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 5,787$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 3,847$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.86 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…62d0backed Under | 17c | 3,301$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 69c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 1,719$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.51 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Under | 14c | 1,084$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 975.15$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 967.62$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 19c | 902.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 16c | 829.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 77c | 591.09$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 17c | 587.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 17c | 584.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 556.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 25c | 488.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 17c | 426.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 16c | 382.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 23c | 294.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 23c | 221.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 16c | 218.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…af3fbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 28c | 176.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Under | 18c | 147.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0f86backed Over | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Under | 18c | 125.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 122.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 10c | 120.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 18c | 112.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…83ffbacked Under | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 17c | 93.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 15c | 83.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 16c | 78.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 16c | 63.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 19c | 55.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 28c | 46.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 71c | 39.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 77c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.