TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf693…8064

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.06
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.92
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.53
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Bahia vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed 1. FC Union Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.