Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cda46310ac65a7e9390cd5106f7c7643b64b6724642714e37880bab849ade1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 1,558$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.28 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 900.09$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 805.38$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.85 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 651.08$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 46c | 439.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 68c | 305.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 32c | 263.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 224.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 185.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 45c | 157.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 136.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 52c | 93.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 52c | 92.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 82.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 53c | 80.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 44c | 74.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Under | 52c | 73.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 52c | 71.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 54c | 61.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Under | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Under | 52c | 55.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Under | 52c | 55.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 54c | 51.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 54c | 51.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 54c | 51.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 44c | 49.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 61c | 44.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…f050backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 52c | 36.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…277fbacked Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Under | 53c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 72c | 30.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 72c | 30.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.