TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Team Liquid, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid70c14,162$9,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,884.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Sentinels62c12,773$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,858.2125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels66c11,417$7,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.4948157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Sentinels35c11,046$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,226.4367760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid54c10,158$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.3391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels40c9,306$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.71,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeed5…7f92backed Sentinels31c9,186$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,360.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Sentinels54c8,369$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,874.3716254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Sentinels61c7,215$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.0689347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Liquid72c6,133$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.4848149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x446f…b09fbacked Sentinels64c5,269$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.611861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid68c4,574$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.362,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Sentinels31c4,444$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.3535431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid66c4,292$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.0323252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Team Liquid69c4,276$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.9319745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Sentinels35c3,744$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.75028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Sentinels32c3,582$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.6567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels30c3,459$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.641,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid34c3,333$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.221,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team Liquid40c3,333$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.251044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid61c3,080$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.6131036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid34c3,067$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03885742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid58c2,657$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.583,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sentinels27c2,281$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.221,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sentinels32c2,250$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Sentinels33c2,208$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.4818742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid70c2,090$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.5119150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…122bbacked Sentinels39c1,908$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.624057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid58c1,889$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.281,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid57c1,727$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.6485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Team Liquid59c1,683$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.241,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Sentinels38c1,589$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.8528638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Sentinels30c1,576$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.971,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sentinels73c1,545$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1726164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels33c1,498$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.521,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid65c1,490$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.182,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Sentinels33c1,464$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2956650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Team Liquid55c1,424$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4164247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Sentinels31c1,366$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.728458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Team Liquid61c1,286$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.649259.8%55 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Team Liquid76c1,282$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.3650569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Sentinels36c1,275$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.1943358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels32c1,236$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.9883560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid58c1,232$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.541,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Sentinels74c1,204$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2919860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Sentinels16c1,152$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.1327248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Liquid49c1,135$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.4933042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Sentinels35c1,118$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.385160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels31c1,071$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.8395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f89…3444backed Sentinels66c1,046$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Liquid69c1,037$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.4153753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid63c1,008$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.799338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Sentinels30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70017032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Liquid67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9945937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Sentinels39c996.91$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.321,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Sentinels35c972.37$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9414154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Sentinels32c945.58$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.4278050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid67c931.54$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.671,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Liquid61c895.84$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4946650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Sentinels38c890$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6939447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Team Liquid72c881.97$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6828965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid66c859.47$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Team Liquid79c851.36$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.6346263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Sentinels31c838.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1242941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels38c834.68$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5563546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Sentinels36c799.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.51,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Sentinels31c773.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4154246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Sentinels45c732.92$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4850749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Team Liquid69c704.59$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0915644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid70c703.35$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.941,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels35c683.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.331,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Sentinels39c615.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Sentinels57c599.98$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9935346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Sentinels36c560.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.8415257.9%88 W · 64 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Team Liquid43c536.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6986251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid57c533.33$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.236946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sentinels39c508.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.135243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Liquid80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Team Liquid69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34561143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Sentinels20c499.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9937633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6484…7102backed Team Liquid69c482.59$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels33c465.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7956432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid55c444.5$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.852,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid50c435.74$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6542847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Liquid25c435.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.081,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid52c427.89$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.581,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid60c414.9$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9421249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Sentinels22c404.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4650549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Sentinels36c401.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.351,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed Team Liquid63c399.86$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8614149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Team Liquid58c399.37$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5257151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed Team Liquid59c398.41$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Team Liquid55c363.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.833125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Team Liquid40c361.93$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.628042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Team Liquid57c355.78$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8838342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Sentinels26c339.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1414735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Team Liquid56c337.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7780150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Sentinels29c334.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Sentinels35c316.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9958420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.