Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7ce337a25e4802e60a200fb451167b0807f619657aa2802c097861672cfefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Pliskovaof Solana Sierra, Karolina Pliskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Solana Sierra | 42c | 66,452$27,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,834.83 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 31,759$18,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.62 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Karolina Pliskova | 57c | 16,951$9,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,254.62 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 71c | 16,018$11,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Solana Sierra | 15c | 13,043$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.45 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Karolina Pliskova | 56c | 11,779$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.96 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Solana Sierra | 11c | 10,267$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.84 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Karolina Pliskova | 60c | 9,703$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.95 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 7,650$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.81 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 5,551$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.27 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 4,936$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Solana Sierra | 24c | 4,179$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.03 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 3,975$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.6 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…805abacked Karolina Pliskova | 59c | 3,698$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 3,674$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.47 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 78c | 3,560$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.8 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 3,442$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Solana Sierra | 15c | 3,417$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.57 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Solana Sierra | 8c | 2,693$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Karolina Pliskova | 75c | 2,616$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.65 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karolina Pliskova | 69c | 2,603$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.62 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 2,590$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Karolina Pliskova | 77c | 2,279$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Solana Sierra | 21c | 2,235$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.36 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Solana Sierra | 26c | 2,227$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Karolina Pliskova | 64c | 2,064$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.38 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Pliskova | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Solana Sierra | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Karolina Pliskova | 56c | 1,880$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Solana Sierra | 36c | 1,808$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.75 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…8301backed Karolina Pliskova | 59c | 1,791$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 55c | 1,776$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.11 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Solana Sierra | 31c | 1,534$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked Solana Sierra | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Pliskova | 69c | 1,448$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Solana Sierra | 43c | 1,431$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.25 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Solana Sierra | 21c | 1,260$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Solana Sierra | 42c | 1,236$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.28 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Karolina Pliskova | 56c | 1,233$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.08 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 1,226$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.18 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Solana Sierra | 37c | 1,127$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,062$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.12 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,041$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efcebacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…fc4fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…60f7backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed Karolina Pliskova | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Solana Sierra | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Solana Sierra | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Solana Sierra | 40c | 999.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 987.24$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.64 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Solana Sierra | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Solana Sierra | 38c | 898.28$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Solana Sierra | 46c | 838.59$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Solana Sierra | 35c | 823.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Solana Sierra | 35c | 823.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Karolina Pliskova | 76c | 821.24$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Solana Sierra | 28c | 812.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Solana Sierra | 43c | 805.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Solana Sierra | 41c | 800.46$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.11 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Solana Sierra | 44c | 784.24$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.01 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Solana Sierra | 21c | 764.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Solana Sierra | 21c | 747.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Karolina Pliskova | 54c | 734.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Solana Sierra | 40c | 704.13$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Solana Sierra | 13c | 681.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Solana Sierra | 36c | 623.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Solana Sierra | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Solana Sierra | 42c | 579.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Solana Sierra | 15c | 562.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Solana Sierra | 20c | 530.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Solana Sierra | 27c | 511.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Solana Sierra | 38c | 508.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Solana Sierra | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Karolina Pliskova | 60c | 489.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 481.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Karolina Pliskova | 61c | 480.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Solana Sierra | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Karolina Pliskova | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Solana Sierra | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Karolina Pliskova | 60c | 431.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 401.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Solana Sierra | 5c | 397.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Karolina Pliskova | 48c | 363.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…eb15backed Solana Sierra | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Solana Sierra | 42c | 354.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Solana Sierra | 8c | 342.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 336.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Karolina Pliskova | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 317.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 61c | 315.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Solana Sierra | 34c | 299.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Solana Sierra | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs PliskovaPliskova won
- Set Handicap: Pliskova (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)Pliskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.