Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086c4c013a3a4b7218f46d3a7ddc0b0f487c916c186201ba07677b811b2fa293

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $356,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $439,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,228 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over	49c	84,346$41,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,807.1	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over	52c	47,820$24,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,953.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	51c	47,345$24,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,199.01	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Over	52c	31,149$16,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,951.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	26,806$13,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,035.1	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under	49c	26,551$12,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,912.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	48c	14,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	48c	13,000$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,240	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	37c	10,379$3,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,819.49	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under	49c	9,000$4,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,409.99	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	51c	7,765$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960.05	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	52c	7,524$3,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,883.9	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	6,428$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.03	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under	48c	6,055$2,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,906.4	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under	48c	6,001$2,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,907.21	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	51c	5,824$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970.04	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	51c	5,418$2,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,741.12	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under	50c	5,379$2,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,696.85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under	50c	5,125$2,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	49c	4,180$2,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,048.2	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-6.7wins	-0.34per pick	49cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	48c	4,037$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.6	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under	49c	3,957$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	51c	3,397$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.52	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	3,117$1,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.02	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	49c	3,013$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.56	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	51c	2,988$1,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.01	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	51c	2,912$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.02	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under	39c	2,457$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	48c	2,345$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.6	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	50c	2,222$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	48c	2,018$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.8	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under	49c	1,978$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over	51c	1,968$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.48	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	49c	1,838$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.76	58	70.7%41 W · 17 L	+10.4wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under	52c	1,418$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	50c	1,357$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.86	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	47	2.1%1 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	45c	1,122$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.94	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	51c	970.6$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.01	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	51c	970.6$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.01	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	51c	970.6$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.01	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	48c	968.8$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.02	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	51c	873.54$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.51	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	16c	854.82$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	51c	776.48$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	51c	776.48$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	51c	776.48$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	52c	740.9$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.19	172	47.1%81 W · 91 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	50c	719.34$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.35	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	78c	668.56$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.15	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	48c	640.01$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.2	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under	19c	615.13$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	51c	582.36$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	48c	561.34$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.44	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	49c	513.71$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.99	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	51c	498.35$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.68	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	51c	485.3$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	51c	485.3$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	51c	485.3$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	51c	485.3$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	51c	459.2$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.63	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	51c	446.48$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.7	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	52c	439$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.72	337	37.4%126 W · 211 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	54c	414.73$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.94	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	42c	410.43$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.46	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Under	49c	395.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	49c	394.12$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	51c	388.24$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	53c	366.9$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.6	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	48c	339$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.72	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under	49c	334.44$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under	48c	329.46$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.14	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	51c	291.18$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under	48c	290.64$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.51	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	49c	279.89$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.64	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	45c	249.99$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.5	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+7.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+31%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over	54c	241.93$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.61	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	51c	234$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.34	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	50c	217.76$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.37	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over	45c	216.11$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.86	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	45c	214.89$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.19	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over	52c	206.82$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	56c	204.11$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.4	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	43c	200.88$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.58	446	55.4%247 W · 199 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Under	49c	199.54$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	50c	199$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under	49c	197.84$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	49c	197.84$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.9	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under	48c	196.87$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	52c	194.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under	26c	183.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	53c	183.27$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.13	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	51c	179.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.61	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event