Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec0820cf2ac5b8dfa527ee0541d37dcf086d98e94bd3efe2a39ca8b5643d2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 9,831$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 4,331$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 69c | 2,833$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 2,702$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 1,971$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.09 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 28c | 1,936$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 64c | 1,390$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 1,233$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.44 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 1,006$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.91 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 51c | 994.52$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 30c | 829.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 30c | 777.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 54c | 626.89$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 598.13$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 65c | 534.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 32c | 445.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 400.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 35c | 395.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 392.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 67c | 333.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 329.47$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 13c | 320.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 264.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 64c | 243.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 235.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 232.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 70c | 200.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +399.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa790…b73cbacked Over | 61c | 196.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 32c | 191.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 54c | 165.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 138.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 20c | 122.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 69c | 114.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 13c | 109.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 68c | 107.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 45c | 99.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Under | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…3306backed Under | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 61c | 79.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 71.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 73c | 66.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 63c | 63.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 61.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 65c | 59.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 64c | 54.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 50c | 45.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 44.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 43c | 42.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 40c | 40.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 40.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 46c | 37.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Under | 57c | 36.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 33c | 34.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 56c | 32.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 37c | 32.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 30.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 29.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 69c | 29.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…aa61backed Under | 67c | 29.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 49c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Over | 70c | 24.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Under | 64c | 21.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 18.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.