Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa35a6a8fcdbc5e9117f8f5d750635c426e661149aa72a11a1953093f9f8cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FSV Mainz 05of FC Bayern München, 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Bayern München | 6c | 21,340$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.62 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 7,700$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.58 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 4,055$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 64c | 2,926$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.25 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 1,757$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 1,545$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 15c | 1,464$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 948.37$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 729.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 68c | 716.3$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Bayern München | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 63c | 493.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 484.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 474.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Bayern München | 4c | 461.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 446.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 59c | 433.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 67c | 392.55$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 376.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 339.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 338.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…d9dcbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 332.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed FC Bayern München | 6c | 331.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 324.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 319.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked FC Bayern München | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 292.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 261.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 253.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 239.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 62c | 237.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 233$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 200.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 80c | 180.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…3b75backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 172.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 154.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 153.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 67c | 150.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 144.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 135.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 133.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 68c | 119.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Bayern München | 18c | 114.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 71c | 110.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 103.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed FC Bayern München | 14c | 96.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 93.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FC Bayern München | 16c | 92.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FC Bayern München | 14c | 86.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC Bayern München | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 70.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…b092backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 62.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed FC Bayern München | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 59.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…4572backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 53.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…e34ebacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 51.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 62c | 49.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 67c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…84acbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 45.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 42.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 78c | 39.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 80c | 36.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 64c | 33.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 30.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…cf7cbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 29.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 64c | 26.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 66c | 26.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 65c | 23.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 80c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 80c | 16.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 80c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.