Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1ac6dbf1e724656bf9f1f0291c169c31a846636deb4c63d120d2f31292a3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 3,953$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.49 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 46c | 1,847$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 46c | 939.24$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.7 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 691.3$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 46c | 173.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 54c | 49.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 54c | 43.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 38.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 32.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Under | 54c | 26.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 46c | 24.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Under | 54c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Under | 54c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.