Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe212576df5bb67974e7a8af3fb28d3832c5b2df02645e9ebebfbf2b1c4f063e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 57c | 4,665$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.25 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 1,983$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.39 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 59c | 1,116$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.37 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 634.53$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 42c | 574.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.34 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 42c | 569.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 544 | 29.6%161 W · 383 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 41c | 535.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -10.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 534.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 42c | 438.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 42c | 397.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 42c | 348.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 41c | 307.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 45c | 196.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Under | 44c | 142.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 41c | 66.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 41c | 44.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Under | 41c | 35.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Under | 41c | 26.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Under | 41c | 26.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 60c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.