Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe187e5435a9842ec59bb25ebdeccd8752027a8c3c9ce43fc70afbda1261beb6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 10,644$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,643.29 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 6,863$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.04 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked paiN Gaming | 74c | 4,999$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.85 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 3,927$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.91 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 3,572$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.12 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 3,440$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.85 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 2,455$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.57 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Fluxo W7M | 28c | 2,036$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.97 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Fluxo W7M | 28c | 1,943$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 1,385$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.52 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.98 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 1,271$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.33 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 1,149$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.54 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 999.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.96 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 621.86$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.65 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Fluxo W7M | 31c | 572.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 566.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 411.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 382.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 347$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 249.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked paiN Gaming | 71c | 242.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 236.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 232.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 208$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 205.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 197.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 191.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 181.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fluxo W7M | 28c | 177.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 135.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 134.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked paiN Gaming | 73c | 121.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 120.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 112.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 111.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 107.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 102.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 93.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 89.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 51.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked paiN Gaming | 74c | 26.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Gaming | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.