TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Yes44c16,915$7,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,441.243650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c13,674$8,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,455.31,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,602$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.845,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Yes40c2,103$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.012544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes9c1,864$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.363933.3%13 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70418353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Yes38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.735763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes8c1,027$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.24717%8 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Yes43c992.45$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes25c954.84$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.222944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes50c954.28$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.391315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Yes44c900.68$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c873.15$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.31,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30813154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes20c555.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4149044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c551.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes36c529.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.714161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes38c467.27$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.093548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Yes48c364.59$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes47c309.25$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.235733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6948768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Yes43c292.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No50c289.43$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.295164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No59c277.02$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5318952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Yes47c276.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.741625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.226418.8%12 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0af9…5bf2backed Yes47c249.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.49540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes46c247.28$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.683633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Yes43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5880%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes46c223.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.663850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.215454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No51c179.72$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4434558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No56c157.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6911931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes12c152$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes44c150.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1673850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes40c127.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.692630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes50c126.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No59c117.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9927964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5b1…e91bbacked Yes46c113.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.293661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No53c93.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8828253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No55c89.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3324162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c88.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6613849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…54dabacked Yes41c86.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No58c86.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.889245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes18c85.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Yes38c77.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No56c77.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2611764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.883250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…dfbebacked Yes43c71.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No59c70.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.88250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Yes50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No49c59.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.463735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes41c59.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.115538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2718445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c4…b93fbacked Yes40c58.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes44c56.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.775162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a03…279abacked No55c52.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No77c51.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6815068%102 W · 48 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes41c51.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes33c50.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6511023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes38c50.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed No54c50.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes50c48.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.186955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.519141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed No54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.714528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed No55c44.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No80c42.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5332457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.616255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f3…5c66backed No59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes47c38.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.055635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked No48c38.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6520860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No56c34.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.316663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c34.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2177056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked No54c33.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.