Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78d6163efe698116766c4e313ff7bb9903e08d54869ba36a098ab8eca2e16c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 5,450$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 23c | 3,908$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 2,052$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.03 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 25c | 1,765$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,423$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.93 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 1,019$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 996.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 43c | 898.4$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Yes | 24c | 893.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Yes | 23c | 774.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 745.59$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Yes | 28c | 453.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0e68backed Yes | 41c | 340.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 45c | 329.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 321.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 272.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 71c | 178.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 72c | 177.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Yes | 29c | 166.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 162.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 19c | 146.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 12c | 123.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 111.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 94.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 82.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 67.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 67.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 71c | 56.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked No | 60c | 54.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 31c | 44.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 33c | 43.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 68c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 59c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 30.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 41c | 29.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 70c | 29.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 65c | 29.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…ec88backed Yes | 38c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 58c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 24.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed No | 69c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked No | 63c | 16.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked No | 73c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 80c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?this page
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.