TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c84,522$40,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,141.611,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over52c43,668$22,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,707.5487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c27,870$13,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,771.1524650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c21,309$11,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,190.7463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c20,835$11,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,042.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c19,163$9,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,079.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c18,585$9,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,713.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c18,475$9,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,715.5232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over51c9,452$4,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,854.0614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c9,011$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Over52c6,472$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.1937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under77c5,705$4,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2965350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c5,453$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c4,917$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.133,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over53c4,343$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.0220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d7a4backed Under79c4,272$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c3,992$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.651,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c3,981$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over58c2,671$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.882433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under47c2,622$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.031,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c2,456$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under47c2,363$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.7114052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under45c2,306$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5517052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c2,103$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.814854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,797$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c1,784$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.62,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over53c1,654$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.4612257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,610$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,569$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over45c1,555$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under65c1,423$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under55c1,316$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over36c1,230$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.682,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,213$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Over54c1,170$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.834841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c1,169$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.8332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Over56c997.89$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.821566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over24c976.35$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under77c886.38$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.171,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c823.84$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over34c819.67$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over51c776.48$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over53c733.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7241753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c718.97$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.431,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over41c704.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.719650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over53c677.34$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9914049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over53c656.97$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c643.34$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.971,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under48c600.88$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2232450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over49c597.88$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under49c557.7$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.612050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over53c552.95$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c539.34$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over18c528.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under51c524.88$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Over53c515.05$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.984763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over51c514.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over31c488.47$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.75738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over46c477.91$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over53c462.58$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1719348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…6e22backed Over55c412.15$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed Under47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over40c392.34$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c379.56$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under64c370.25$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2721243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under49c368.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under54c356.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.447946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over53c354.09$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.866636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over33c340.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over35c336.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over52c329.56$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.912948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over41c319.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.356945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over53c316.72$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c313$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8934850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c297.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under48c292.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0128547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under47c290.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over51c282.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c281.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7720247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over22c270.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over41c266.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11025958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Under50c248.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.182466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Over53c230.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.452222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.5wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over52c217.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.579651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1817758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10617041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.