NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15468fdfc91c3f74d2f0099031bc8d786dfd4f571254e600f656411e605f5dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,296,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,284,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,296,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 356,646$185,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,190.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs | 48c | 252,590$121,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,012.27 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 48c | 201,850$96,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,879.75 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.92 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 122,737$64,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,773.33 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Spurs | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Spurs | 51c | 95,524$48,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,523.96 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 70,225$36,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,712.56 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 60,579$31,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,077.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 57,207$28,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,731.39 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 46c | 40,824$18,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,770.89 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38,848$20,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,647.04 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 37,222$19,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,866.56 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 35c | 34,718$12,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,121.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 28,618$14,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,924.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 28,015$14,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,447.38 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 28,015$14,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,447.38 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 21,147$10,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,785.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Spurs | 48c | 20,506$9,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,841.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 20,353$10,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,752.35 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 20,353$10,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,752.35 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 20,010$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,205.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 16,461$8,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.47 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Spurs | 46c | 15,710$7,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,226.49 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 47c | 14,996$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.3 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 14,069$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.57 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 13,025$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.62 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 12,520$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 12,269$6,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 31c | 10,033$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 9,993$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spurs | 47c | 9,814$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.48 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 8,590$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.37 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs | 47c | 8,238$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.94 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs | 48c | 6,049$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.25 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spurs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.32 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Spurs | 49c | 5,738$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.39 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 5,458$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.94 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…d7d0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,037$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 48c | 4,949$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.63 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,889$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Spurs | 49c | 4,767$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.66 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Spurs | 25c | 4,633$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.02 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,008$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Trail Blazers | 76c | 3,972$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.8 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Spurs | 48c | 3,959$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Spurs | 48c | 3,939$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 46c | 3,708$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Spurs | 50c | 3,473$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Spurs | 44c | 3,333$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,265$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.74 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 3,209$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.1 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Spurs | 23c | 3,180$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 2,932$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,901$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Spurs | 11c | 2,831$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 35c | 2,678$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 48c | 2,529$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.4 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,462$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.93 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,391$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 28c | 2,254$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.08 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Spurs | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Spurs | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 47c | 2,175$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 45c | 2,163$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,050$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.28 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 24c | 1,988$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.2 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f3d0backed Spurs | 42c | 1,954$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,908$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Spurs | 48c | 1,889$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,788$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.35 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,768$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.53 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Spurs | 46c | 1,683$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 44c | 1,671$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…d4b3backed Spurs | 45c | 1,663$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.04 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Spurs | 34c | 1,590$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 29c | 1,589$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.03 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,540$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,534$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.78 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,525$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.87 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,523$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.03 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Spurs | 26c | 1,519$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.24 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 49c | 1,397$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs | 11c | 1,390$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 21c | 1,375$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Spurs | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.