TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$942,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$946,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $942,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c365,696$181,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,335.5587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c322,992$162,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,356.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c209,871$105,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,202.321,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c80,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under50c58,200$29,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,10029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c38,709$19,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,808.061,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under50c33,950$16,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9753545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c32,740$15,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,352.1829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under50c30,238$15,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,031.252564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c29,111$14,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,549.8263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over50c29,083$14,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,541.2620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under50c19,586$9,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,792.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over46c19,579$8,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,985.616152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under50c19,400$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c16,660$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,334.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under54c15,560$8,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.851,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under50c14,442$7,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,221.147852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c11,527$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,586.761,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c11,363$5,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,698.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0702…523cbacked Under50c9,691$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…78ffbacked Under50c8,292$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under50c8,259$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.315442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over53c8,111$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.711,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb7…f5d9backed Under50c7,985$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c7,713$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c7,648$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.131,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,254$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c5,575$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over46c4,622$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.2393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c4,448$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.6732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c4,448$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.6790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c4,210$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.914946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over51c4,092$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.121653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under50c4,091$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.369447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under50c4,074$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over50c3,937$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.4912341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Under50c3,826$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c3,383$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.3214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c3,193$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.1684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under50c2,929$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.73943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c2,912$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.7856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c2,824$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,549$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.5870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under50c2,267$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.9714052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under54c2,257$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.871,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over41c2,216$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over51c2,203$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.779651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under49c2,181$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.3917553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over37c2,126$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c2,092$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.821,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Under53c1,954$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.189861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Over58c1,950$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.776352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97014854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c1,926$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.1748054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.617247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b0…039dbacked Under60c1,690$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6761428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,639$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,552$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.987156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over50c1,461$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.622433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under53c1,442$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.4723251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under51c1,421$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.062050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,415$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over51c1,392$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9512257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c1,245$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under52c1,155$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Under52c1,141$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.053636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under51c1,136$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,112$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Under44c1,099$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.54942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.1518844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e7…cdc7backed Under50c1,062$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c1,061$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c1,060$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c1,056$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4520647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed Under50c1,042$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f0…b3f1backed Over48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+92.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Under51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c964.92$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.318748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over51c944.6$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.428844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under51c930.21$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under64c919.95$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.64257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under80c910.26$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.952759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c892.4$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under54c874.57$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7928838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.98$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c766.79$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over1c750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over24c744.56$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over52c740.71$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.593641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c728.78$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Over50c716$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3584738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under48c686.23$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.844751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.