South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5da1006fc81497b182719790876bbd184e0f8d0292cf6936cdb0be1ed4b901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 2c | 22,341$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 4c | 4,180$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 3,849$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 62c | 1,985$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.45 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 1,849$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.62 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 42c | 1,246$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.12 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,003$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 38c | 611.87$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 57c | 591.91$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 529.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed No | 58c | 524.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 11c | 444.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 365$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 348.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 8c | 310.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 11c | 283.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 263.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 256.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 42c | 227.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 220.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 214$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 30c | 176.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 40c | 168.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 39c | 136.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 38c | 135.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 17c | 96.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 96.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 17c | 67.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Yes | 43c | 50.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 43c | 49.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 38c | 48.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Yes | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 34.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Yes | 43c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 32.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed No | 60c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…44c2backed Yes | 43c | 28.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 27.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 79c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed No | 58c | 18.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 64c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…5a73backed No | 58c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.