South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf01d2f180632bae4a30c72fea3d9c19560cda8acf10788824c4b23a68dcaae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 999.93$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 5c | 708.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 26c | 703.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 611.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 586.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 10c | 477.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 11c | 446.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes | 27c | 311.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 66c | 293.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 289.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 8c | 276.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 268.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…5142backed Yes | 8c | 233.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 174.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Yes | 15c | 128.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 114.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 102.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 67c | 44.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 67c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 66c | 27.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.