NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc57907aeef6c5bd01fd15590c079e436fce2af1a9ee18862787ee30c472863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 2,940$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 2,932$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.49 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,113$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 2,087$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.1 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 583.42$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 542.94$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 298.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 32c | 287.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 11c | 286.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 226$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 196.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…85adbacked Under | 56c | 165.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…86aabacked Over | 45c | 159.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 54c | 139.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…f6a1backed Under | 56c | 129.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…5247backed Under | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…4633backed Over | 45c | 116.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…611ebacked Over | 45c | 116.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 60c | 114.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 54c | 114.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 31c | 109.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8384backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…5967backed Over | 45c | 102.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db0…4483backed Under | 56c | 102.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 91.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 56c | 87.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 79.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 28c | 78.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…c76fbacked Over | 45c | 63.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…8524backed Under | 56c | 63.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 45c | 60.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 57.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…8064backed Over | 45c | 53.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 25c | 50.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…59c3backed Over | 45c | 49.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…b9e9backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Under | 55c | 43.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Over | 46c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 43c | 41.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Under | 56c | 41.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 45c | 40.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…5960backed Under | 56c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 38.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 69c | 33.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f73…2240backed Over | 45c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…702cbacked Under | 56c | 30.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Under | 57c | 30.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 30.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 46c | 28.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 70c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Over | 45c | 24.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 71c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…6df0backed Under | 56c | 19.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 69c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 14.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.