NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec524bafb7d5c84f1eaf73b0ef1dfd716ae66c144d079829dff7ea12826f0f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Bruins, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Sabres | 72c | 2,084$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 28c | 2,043$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 30c | 1,197$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Sabres | 71c | 1,147$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.54 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Sabres | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Bruins | 28c | 1,020$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sabres | 70c | 753.07$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sabres | 68c | 467.54$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Bruins | 28c | 356.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Bruins | 30c | 321.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 30c | 308.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 70c | 222.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Bruins | 30c | 220.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Bruins | 44c | 220.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Bruins | 30c | 212.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Bruins | 19c | 169.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Sabres | 70c | 165.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Bruins | 39c | 157.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sabres | 73c | 155.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…c7a3backed Sabres | 72c | 124.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…bbdfbacked Bruins | 29c | 121.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 74c | 119.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bruins | 32c | 95.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…aefabacked Bruins | 29c | 87.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 29c | 84.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…667dbacked Sabres | 72c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Sabres | 71c | 83.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sabres | 63c | 79.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bruins | 29c | 64.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Bruins | 29c | 59.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Bruins | 27c | 58.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Bruins | 32c | 55.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bruins | 38c | 48.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Sabres | 53c | 45.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bruins | 28c | 36.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sabres | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…7619backed Sabres | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sabres | 71c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Sabres | 72c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Sabres | 72c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.