NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0dbf1156558606b00ba844e18f846097adf663f87dd319ee1dd62a34468cd8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Sabres | 28c | 4,007$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.75 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bruins | 71c | 1,754$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.15 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…723dbacked Bruins | 72c | 1,572$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Sabres | 29c | 1,197$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.69 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sabres | 21c | 1,106$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.05 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Bruins | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Sabres | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Bruins | 71c | 880.14$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.9 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 34c | 683.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bruins | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Bruins | 72c | 499.32$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins | 76c | 496.94$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.54 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Sabres | 44c | 404.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bruins | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Bruins | 64c | 382.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 62c | 347.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sabres | 27c | 305.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabres | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 47c | 281.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 72c | 238.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 72c | 209.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sabres | 28c | 201.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bruins | 53c | 187.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Sabres | 45c | 161.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…dbe7backed Bruins | 72c | 150.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bruins | 72c | 150.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bruins | 54c | 145.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…73a7backed Sabres | 29c | 140.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Sabres | 45c | 137.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…6a6bbacked Bruins | 72c | 128.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Sabres | 27c | 105.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bruins | 78c | 100.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bruins | 59c | 98.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Bruins | 52c | 90.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…21b9backed Sabres | 29c | 89.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…b26fbacked Bruins | 72c | 88.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…77f2backed Sabres | 29c | 74.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Bruins | 72c | 74.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Sabres | 28c | 74.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sabres | 30c | 71.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sabres | 36c | 70.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Sabres | 36c | 56.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Sabres | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bruins | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sabres | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Bruins | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sabres | 34c | 48.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sabres | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Sabres | 44c | 43.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Bruins | 57c | 42.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Bruins | 51c | 40.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bruins | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Sabres | 30c | 39.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bruins | 76c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Bruins | 52c | 31.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bruins | 49c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Bruins | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Sabres | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Bruins | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Bruins | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.