NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b44c5acac15d09e0b2b8d0274aaba9f892575ebfed0eefc6617431c3aec185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 6,498$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.66 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 3,115$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.74 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,879$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.68 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 69c | 1,946$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 42c | 1,794$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.37 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,793$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.57 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.51 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 782.15$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.48 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 596$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 537.62$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 485.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 38c | 400.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 39c | 393.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Under | 67c | 362.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 44c | 348.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…8a17backed Under | 78c | 281.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 28c | 280.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…c63dbacked Over | 58c | 253.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Over | 53c | 249.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 45c | 246.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 77c | 213.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Under | 43c | 183.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 45c | 181.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 62c | 175$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 28c | 173.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 43c | 168.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Over | 58c | 121.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Over | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 76c | 107.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 51c | 97.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Over | 36c | 90.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 27c | 89.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 89.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 79.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 28c | 69.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 35c | 69.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 43c | 66.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 35c | 66.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 22c | 66.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 43c | 65.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Under | 47c | 61.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Over | 58c | 55.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 45c | 54.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 26c | 54.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 51.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 56c | 50.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 39.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 45c | 33.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Under | 45c | 33.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 80c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 78c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.