TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under49c17,491$8,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,569.616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under51c6,617$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.8732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c6,384$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c6,282$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.112,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c4,850$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under48c4,843$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.2236954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c2,479$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.4889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c2,070$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c2,016$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.8314251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,007$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Over48c1,968$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.3937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c1,671$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.0568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c1,619$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.1693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,296$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,218$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c1,122$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.517052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under46c1,030$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.0329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c1,005$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c911.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.2431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over56c852.11$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c822.4$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.871,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under28c710.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c671.79$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over45c619.81$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…da7fbacked Over55c619.74$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0351…ab88backed Over54c604.86$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over56c584.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.039652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c460$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c451.28$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under46c435.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over49c418.32$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.799950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over51c368.64$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over48c365.76$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.423455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c357.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under12c351.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over14c313.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Under35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under44c297.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.976845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Over54c296.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5410245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under53c291.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.331,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over52c288.05$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.226048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under26c281.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.312637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under46c262.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.697452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under28c260$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c257.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c231.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.415,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under29c225$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under29c225$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c220.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over54c216.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.416146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under34c212$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under28c206$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3823441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5817748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over55c197.22$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.245850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5712047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over50c192.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.931249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Under28c186$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.96648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under28c186$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.913837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c185$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1813342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fe…b1e7backed Over52c175$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under33c169$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under47c165$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over52c152.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under57c145.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.839864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over52c136.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7331540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over52c126$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under33c125$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8121242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under44c123.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3613047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Over57c104.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Under56c103.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under67c99.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over48c99.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.856250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Over54c98.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under53c93.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4516640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under53c92.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8314640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under56c90.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5114264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eaf…a1f3backed Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over50c84.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.177936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Over46c83.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8319952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.817848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.