NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973c0804c583d78fcf0e91e6026b8a557f1da70431d754eaa66b5a58d1ac1c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,738,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,812,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,738,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Lakers | 61c | 563,150$341,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,406.67 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Rockets | 53c | 475,210$251,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,818.98 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 44c | 388,257$170,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,833.24 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 56c | 235,230$131,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,510.77 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 47c | 218,543$102,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,603.22 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 49c | 138,289$67,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,800.98 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Lakers | 47c | 118,725$55,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,726.17 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 50c | 116,992$58,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,716.64 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 38c | 103,334$39,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,266.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Lakers | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.95 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 60c | 79,837$47,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,260.89 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 49c | 75,716$36,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,975.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Lakers | 47c | 74,745$35,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,614.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 59c | 70,000$41,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,700 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 43c | 65,307$28,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,215.86 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Lakers | 50c | 56,049$27,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,193.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets | 41c | 50,710$20,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,790.9 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Rockets | 52c | 49,542$25,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,761.75 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Rockets | 41c | 41,250$16,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,743.1 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Rockets | 45c | 40,456$18,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,105.1 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 46c | 34,615$16,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,568.51 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 44c | 34,253$15,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,071.36 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Rockets | 44c | 33,234$14,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,732.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 37c | 31,045$11,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,331.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets | 44c | 30,527$13,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,431.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 45c | 30,415$13,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,579.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 44c | 29,560$13,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,006.24 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rockets | 44c | 20,162$8,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,957.06 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rockets | 54c | 20,150$10,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,896.22 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 46c | 19,740$9,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,090.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Rockets | 54c | 19,571$10,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,568.58 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…a2f5backed Rockets | 50c | 19,399$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 59c | 19,148$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.73 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 52c | 18,499$9,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,576.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 51c | 18,202$9,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,210.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 56c | 17,003$9,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.25 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Rockets | 50c | 16,140$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Rockets | 44c | 16,014$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.17 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Rockets | 51c | 15,737$8,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,025.66 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Rockets | 44c | 14,857$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.02 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 53c | 14,772$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.77 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Lakers | 47c | 13,150$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.23 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 12,395$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,448.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 45c | 10,738$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.66 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed Lakers | 46c | 9,828$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 44c | 9,591$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.42 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 22c | 8,470$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed Lakers | 59c | 8,248$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Rockets | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Rockets | 46c | 6,635$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.39 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Rockets | 40c | 6,631$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 56c | 6,610$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.2 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets | 44c | 5,930$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.28 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 44c | 5,930$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.28 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,626$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Rockets | 50c | 5,535$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.29 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Rockets | 53c | 5,345$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.8 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,238$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Rockets | 50c | 5,141$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 49c | 5,056$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.59 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Rockets | 44c | 4,939$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.37 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 42c | 4,881$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Lakers | 52c | 4,857$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.06 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 44c | 4,805$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.01 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Rockets | 7c | 4,543$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…978fbacked Rockets | 40c | 4,444$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,401$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 54c | 4,154$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.87 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Lakers | 59c | 4,092$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.61 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Lakers | 62c | 3,865$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 72c | 3,746$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Lakers | 55c | 3,540$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 24c | 3,486$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Rockets | 44c | 3,452$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.87 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Rockets | 50c | 3,448$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.28 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 44c | 3,425$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Lakers | 59c | 3,306$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Lakers | 46c | 3,300$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rockets | 45c | 3,194$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Lakers | 46c | 3,155$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.82 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Rockets | 44c | 2,963$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.52 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…4500backed Rockets | 50c | 2,937$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 44c | 2,839$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.89 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,787$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.81 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Lakers | 78c | 2,705$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 51c | 2,629$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets | 44c | 2,597$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.68 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Lakers | 58c | 2,594$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.61 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ff02backed Rockets | 50c | 2,586$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers | 49c | 2,567$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.59 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets | 50c | 2,475$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.72 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Rockets | 44c | 2,422$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets | 34c | 2,330$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.39 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Rockets | 50c | 2,260$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.05 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Rockets | 52c | 2,206$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Rockets | 44c | 2,180$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.6 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.