La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb216014c748246b166ae1024f2ba9a523cc29e709229f9aea838359f2b2b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof Real Madrid CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3f8…d7d3backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 5,425$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Real Madrid CF | 15c | 3,311$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Real Madrid CF | 13c | 1,149$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…0579backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Real Madrid CF | 14c | 612$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 539.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Real Madrid CF | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…6c45backed Real Madrid CF | 17c | 363.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF | 13c | 303.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…5f1fbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 275$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…aa0fbacked Real Madrid CF | 12c | 243.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…ce1ebacked Real Madrid CF | 13c | 233.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…44c9backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 213.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Real Madrid CF | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…7c65backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 100.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Real Madrid CF | 13c | 99.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Real Madrid CF | 13c | 95.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.