TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Real Madrid CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Real Madrid CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d5…bbf0backed Club Atlético de Madrid10c1,213$126 inLost-$125.7410629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid12c833.33$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…db7fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid12c833.33$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid6c608.11$35 inLost-$35.181,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid13c455$60 inLost-$60.3911146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Club Atlético de Madrid11c372.46$41 inLost-$40.971,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid21c210$44 inLost-$446136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Real Madrid CF80c200$160 inWon+$401872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid16c181.23$29 inLost-$29.0541323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid13c140$18 inLost-$18.29558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Club Atlético de Madrid20c110$23 inLost-$22.512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Club Atlético de Madrid20c105.02$21 inLost-$2117032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Club Atlético de Madrid11c100$11 inLost-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+135.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid10c100$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid20c86$17 inLost-$17.23727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Club Atlético de Madrid23c80$18 inLost-$18.413419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid19c74.64$14 inLost-$14.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.