TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$695,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,453 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed Vitality56c178,215$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,214.565238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION44c150,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,999.9642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION43c27,806$12,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,090.381,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality56c14,286$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.7125751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.8836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION45c11,776$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.2135850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed PARIVISION44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9812441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Vitality56c8,693$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.428862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed PARIVISION44c6,900$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.694955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION42c6,248$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.5967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION45c5,519$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.5623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked PARIVISION42c5,203$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.526450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed PARIVISION44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed PARIVISION44c4,086$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.952334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Vitality58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.286048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Vitality57c3,367$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.0912449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Vitality54c3,066$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.1810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Vitality56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed PARIVISION43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.985947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION44c2,725$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.0516152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Vitality56c2,031$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.61825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Vitality55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Vitality56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83631345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked PARIVISION46c1,843$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.963852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vitality55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.0484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked PARIVISION44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7924837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Vitality56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7119346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed PARIVISION45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked PARIVISION44c1,418$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.317945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed PARIVISION44c1,409$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.0511637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Vitality56c1,297$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8213453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION6c1,143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.821,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed PARIVISION44c1,140$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.69656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION44c1,138$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed PARIVISION45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Vitality60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION19c1,090$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.136645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed PARIVISION45c1,078$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48829851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed PARIVISION55c1,019$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5220946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked PARIVISION44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Vitality55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed PARIVISION1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Vitality56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality54c927.42$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.6183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Vitality56c903.02$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3314971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed PARIVISION44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.867255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Vitality56c892.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.723441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed PARIVISION45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8da…d918backed Vitality57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Vitality57c822.7$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.75358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked PARIVISION36c753.04$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1721737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde7…f0a1backed Vitality54c720.07$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8155…5377backed Vitality67c717.72$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.674168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed Vitality57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.753357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked PARIVISION45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31517954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked PARIVISION45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed PARIVISION45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…360bbacked PARIVISION45c635.42$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.942334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality45c606.63$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Vitality55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed PARIVISION45c540$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked PARIVISION44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Vitality56c465.47$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.817648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION44c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.210136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Vitality75c448.83$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2112852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed PARIVISION32c447.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8343933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Vitality56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.432965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed PARIVISION45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Vitality55c440.66$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.320743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Vitality54c408.76$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7717849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6459049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1423557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e3…af4bbacked Vitality56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Vitality58c353.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4518342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION36c344.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5852951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…4fa4backed Vitality57c340.35$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked PARIVISION45c331.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1218336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Vitality62c318.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1115164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Vitality56c316.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4510541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Vitality65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6932653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed PARIVISION45c303$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Vitality56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13249849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Vitality55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f07…57cabacked Vitality63c299.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c9…54b0backed Vitality57c298.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Vitality56c297.89$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0720744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed PARIVISION23c290.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.864238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vitality56c285.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.372,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9388…ad42backed PARIVISION6c280.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked PARIVISION45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Vitality56c273.21$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2125045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Vitality56c271.63$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5127950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.