TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof PARIVISION, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,144 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality72c30,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked PARIVISION28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Vitality72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.997147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION33c13,883$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.993,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed PARIVISION42c12,839$5,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.024731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Vitality61c11,254$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.1110361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed PARIVISION27c9,041$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.185048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Vitality54c8,537$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed PARIVISION27c7,740$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.794238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed Vitality54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.652860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed PARIVISION43c5,469$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.5712648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed PARIVISION29c5,250$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed PARIVISION28c5,240$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Vitality70c5,088$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.6110663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Vitality57c5,031$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15916152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Vitality58c5,000$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.8857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked PARIVISION18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Vitality71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked PARIVISION14c4,812$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.494645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed PARIVISION47c4,675$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2004621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION28c4,283$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality73c4,233$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.8744957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed Vitality61c4,182$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.966100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9728538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION37c3,802$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.436,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked PARIVISION12c3,657$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8732536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked PARIVISION39c3,300$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28712153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed PARIVISION28c3,214$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vitality79c3,074$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION23c3,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6809340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION13c2,764$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Vitality77c2,596$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.4521939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Vitality73c2,586$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.239862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked PARIVISION29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION62c2,495$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.8319949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION37c2,362$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.8635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION28c2,301$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.2978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Vitality53c2,206$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.812955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f1…2ec0backed PARIVISION29c2,177$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Vitality62c2,137$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.031,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality71c2,073$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.751,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked PARIVISION35c2,022$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6821737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality70c1,978$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.185,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed PARIVISION15c1,955$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.916716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed PARIVISION13c1,879$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.321246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed PARIVISION10c1,834$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION35c1,831$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Vitality64c1,829$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.0113950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Vitality68c1,817$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.4816149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked PARIVISION28c1,807$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked PARIVISION29c1,788$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.913043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed PARIVISION17c1,762$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Vitality54c1,750$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.2512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vitality65c1,726$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.9439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed PARIVISION64c1,725$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Vitality73c1,714$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.675653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed PARIVISION40c1,656$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.116248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION37c1,631$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.031,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Vitality73c1,551$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.836836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION31c1,500$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION49c1,469$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0625555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION39c1,412$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.751,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Vitality72c1,390$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1110753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1e…8ecabacked Vitality75c1,368$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.42055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f4…2ababacked Vitality73c1,314$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Vitality65c1,263$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4436555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed PARIVISION64c1,233$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.8931757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vitality57c1,181$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION27c1,133$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0329046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vitality76c1,126$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.252,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Vitality72c1,126$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6226549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION26c1,076$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.687,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Vitality73c1,067$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed PARIVISION28c1,061$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9520944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Vitality71c1,050$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30114355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked PARIVISION23c1,050$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5418736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed PARIVISION27c1,008$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION43c1,001$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4328453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed PARIVISION28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed Vitality71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Vitality57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked PARIVISION29c999.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.998445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25253444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Vitality67c898.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6118342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION33c887.73$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.953,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed PARIVISION9c881.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3820942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed PARIVISION28c854$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1222448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vitality64c852$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.255,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Vitality80c843.18$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1439970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Vitality72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3313065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION27c825.28$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.752,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Vitality73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9213453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Vitality57c819.33$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7413036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Vitality73c803.12$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8431950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Vitality66c802.79$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.495549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION32c790.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Vitality55c731.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.653348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.