TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,080 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Over50c41,976$20,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,896.814337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c14,678$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,528.032,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under42c12,690$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,309.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135b…dcafbacked Under46c10,442$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x035f…d315backed Over54c8,855$4,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,781.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under43c8,274$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.2224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe0…8b36backed Under46c6,936$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80bd…ff6abacked Under46c6,685$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd4…a5bfbacked Under46c6,468$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dbe…6911backed Under46c5,729$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.665100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13cc…b1ddbacked Under46c5,673$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.424100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18ad…64e0backed Under46c5,593$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.225100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2a…7103backed Over54c5,568$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fd0…fa64backed Under46c5,391$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a69…1d28backed Over54c5,094$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…6b7ebacked Under46c5,083$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.821275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9a0…0203backed Under46c4,936$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.445100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe17b…6506backed Over54c4,906$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ab…d7ddbacked Under46c4,815$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172c…852abacked Over54c4,731$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c4,625$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b4…ed7fbacked Under46c4,515$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1603366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over57c3,968$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.849861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f65…98e9backed Under46c3,826$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…0feabacked Over54c3,791$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642d…43d4backed Over54c3,696$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfc…e319backed Under46c3,686$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a43…2affbacked Under46c3,211$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.94988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+81.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3515…257dbacked Under46c3,188$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1de…4a84backed Under46c3,068$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…3741backed Under46c3,043$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0858…ad2cbacked Under46c2,923$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5bd…f08ebacked Under46c2,880$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…c0b1backed Under46c2,721$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdadc…6a57backed Under46c2,493$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…4e99backed Under46c2,457$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37f…666fbacked Under46c2,403$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b5…3b13backed Under46c2,402$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae09…eab8backed Under46c2,399$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0f…8a51backed Under46c2,396$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972e…40c9backed Under46c2,390$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449a…53b9backed Under46c2,388$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd575…d68dbacked Under46c2,376$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6610…6673backed Under46c2,357$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eb1…fea4backed Under46c2,344$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe327…f384backed Under46c2,301$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb249…4151backed Under46c2,299$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd32…7eb4backed Under46c2,282$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…6d1cbacked Under46c2,247$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x444e…c3cfbacked Under46c2,240$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc637…9a65backed Under46c2,203$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d76…6229backed Under46c2,185$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519b…271cbacked Over54c2,046$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…8536backed Over54c2,027$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1dd…a449backed Under46c2,017$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54d8…dd1abacked Over54c1,968$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1627…0b40backed Over54c1,949$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b45…c2b3backed Over54c1,944$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…4acfbacked Over54c1,913$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2616…e0b6backed Over54c1,908$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57a…2118backed Over54c1,824$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over58c1,673$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a48…d13abacked Over54c1,601$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c1,560$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85515952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74c…0ea5backed Under46c1,489$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,405$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under43c1,307$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.9871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b6…009cbacked Under46c1,265$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8199…7109backed Over54c1,264$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c1,239$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e6…b6c7backed Under46c1,231$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8c…3d38backed Over54c1,220$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c83…5d20backed Under46c1,218$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…d143backed Under46c1,191$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…8425backed Under46c1,158$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ca…4390backed Over54c1,139$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7761…3805backed Under46c1,114$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e77…6ad9backed Under46c1,112$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53f…b2a1backed Under46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x771c…352ebacked Over54c1,110$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…5edebacked Over54c1,098$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…5ad8backed Over54c1,098$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…54b1backed Under46c1,095$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e88…6023backed Over54c1,094$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e95…efdebacked Under46c1,090$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4d…b17fbacked Over54c1,081$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…e65cbacked Over54c1,081$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb787…0925backed Over54c1,078$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f4…52cdbacked Over54c1,070$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96d…8015backed Over54c1,069$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8225…cfcdbacked Over54c1,066$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10c7…0af1backed Over54c1,057$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6c…a434backed Over54c1,053$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193f…2e22backed Over54c984$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…3a6cbacked Over54c984$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba6…c0edbacked Over54c982$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589e…c58fbacked Over54c980$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…58aebacked Over54c965$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.