TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,484 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Over55c9,973$5,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,485.334337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under45c9,700$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,334.9924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Over52c4,119$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.013360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe938…586cbacked Over52c3,034$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c7…e947backed Under48c2,971$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54b…d6f0backed Over52c2,958$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…fa50backed Under48c2,919$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37af…a6cabacked Over52c2,908$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6e…90d7backed Under48c2,901$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b0…441abacked Under48c2,761$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe7…5755backed Over52c2,756$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0670…88b9backed Under48c2,752$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ff…d1efbacked Under48c2,745$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…6dddbacked Over52c2,704$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…3e84backed Over52c2,689$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,310$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb593…4abdbacked Under48c2,155$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8912…110dbacked Under48c2,140$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0c5…bd57backed Over52c2,067$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c1,981$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f59…1f67backed Under48c1,922$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,908$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0851…3055backed Over52c1,745$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over54c1,698$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.72,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd022…fcc8backed Over52c1,595$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…2022backed Under48c1,544$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa21c…b30ebacked Over52c1,422$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc164…1caabacked Under48c1,395$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc31…494ebacked Under48c1,381$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ec…0ce1backed Over52c1,370$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b3…9cb9backed Over52c1,363$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…6a83backed Under48c1,355$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1884…d6bbbacked Over52c1,342$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4564…dd40backed Over52c1,312$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47e…5b3cbacked Over52c1,295$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f27…9f70backed Under48c1,242$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c33…46f6backed Under48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,064$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.321,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…81b9backed Over52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fc…2d94backed Under48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2a…8f5cbacked Under48c955$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa7…86dcbacked Over52c921$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8963…6ed4backed Under48c902$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a0…c28ebacked Under48c766$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c686.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under56c672.27$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4d…22abbacked Over52c641$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…668bbacked Over52c632$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under45c600.46$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c575.14$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.823,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a7…30ecbacked Over52c552$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5741…af6ebacked Over52c530$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…a448backed Over52c441$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660b…a853backed Under48c408$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under46c306$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c251.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under47c214.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2624849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under48c210.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over52c194.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c190.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c189.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c183.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under46c153$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Over55c106.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5315949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over53c105.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0413554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Over52c96.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c93.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee93…e757backed Under48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under46c76.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3134047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under46c76.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3157250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c72.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf805…206cbacked Over52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c66.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c63.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over51c61.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2834247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Over54c55.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.994634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Over53c47.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Under50c44.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6637845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c37.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under49c30.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c28.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over50c26.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c26.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.032,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Under47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5318444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c24.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c20.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.