TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,076 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c143,944$70,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,694.321,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c63,442$32,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,355.4760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c50,000$25,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,8001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under48c21,993$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,436.366651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c21,739$10,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,257.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b90…0880backed Over49c13,300$6,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,517560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Under51c13,291$6,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,512.591070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Over51c11,961$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over51c9,726$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c9,435$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.231,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c6,604$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c6,036$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under48c5,514$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.2811335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c3,912$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c3,138$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c3,059$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.731,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c3,053$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c3,045$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over49c3,038$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.3919958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c3,031$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.211,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa862…63acbacked Under51c2,975$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…685dbacked Over49c2,974$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c2,908$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.265754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2403…2acfbacked Over49c2,884$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebd…7ec7backed Under51c2,848$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac34…320ebacked Over49c2,817$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.6360%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xad05…7528backed Under51c2,789$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…b638backed Under51c2,771$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c2,656$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.2512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9975…70dbbacked Under51c2,598$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae1…d693backed Over49c2,586$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c3…41cabacked Over49c2,579$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b74…67c2backed Over49c2,562$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,522$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,428$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb83d…d287backed Under51c2,421$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,938$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c1,894$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over51c1,588$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under52c1,448$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.254639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c1,269$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.7741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over51c1,113$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6212945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over32c999.28$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under49c970.83$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8314455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under52c888.46$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4619359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c865.1$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under48c840$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c801.76$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c761$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over53c731.31$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Under49c632.65$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.652755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over52c618.4$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c496.94$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c496.52$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over51c409.82$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c392$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c384$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over31c355.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0823649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c348.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c344.02$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c323.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c318.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Over51c314$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.149150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15338242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c277.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c238.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over31c238$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.784645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over52c231.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over45c228$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3343447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Over31c199$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.695451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Under48c192.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.143842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c191.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over36c191.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over51c182.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8513554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c163.4$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695c…85ddbacked Over52c163.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over52c149$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4823655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bd…921abacked Over50c147$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over50c144.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.