NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e5aec092654e6842b1ff6b9aa75f4e0e533cf685e1c3ce659ededdb73b80d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e0b…2b9ebacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…285bbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…0ca3backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5156…3cb3backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,656$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 7,907$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.39 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Under | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 2,732$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,488$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 917.32$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 831.47$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 54c | 702.31$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.06 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 573.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 48c | 429.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 368.36$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 266.31$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 46c | 266.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 52c | 221$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 186.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 49c | 156$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…bba6backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 141.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 83.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 75.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 43.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Over | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 40.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 37.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 34.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5this page
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Suns won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.