La Liga · resolved market

CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898c1e98e8f51451984b176cf08d096cefb2bc5b66c92a402685a5c6ddf66b7b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,055 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	42c	3,816$1,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,616.28	4,729	47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	25c	2,047$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.98	170	32.9%56 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	31c	1,062$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.03	691	42.5%294 W · 397 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	964.43$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.21	3,444	43%1,482 W · 1,962 L	+31.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	51c	653.96$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.44	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under	22c	629.36$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under	11c	549.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	53c	499.98$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.99	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over	36c	365.98$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.98	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	74c	338.92$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.92	174	66.1%115 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under	72c	327$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.44	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over	55c	326.09$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.74	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	61c	324.59$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.59	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Over	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over	39c	300$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under	11c	264.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	61c	258.08$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.95	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71dd…4789backed Over	79c	255.47$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc98…3382backed Under	21c	255.47$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	223	57%127 W · 96 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	50c	216$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	154	51.3%79 W · 75 L	+14.2wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x691d…b2debacked Under	21c	215.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…4935backed Over	79c	215.82$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+350.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over	66c	193$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.88	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19da…8cd3backed Under	22c	186.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under	43c	186$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c6…36aabacked Over	50c	180.22$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	48c	147.24$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.29	1,651	43.9%724 W · 927 L	-21.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	16c	145.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	1,081	50.6%547 W · 534 L	+11.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c2…952abacked Under	21c	132.59$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…1c57backed Over	79c	132.59$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under	37c	125.94$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under	13c	120$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	10.6%9 W · 76 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	+17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	49c	114.29$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.29	225	53.8%121 W · 104 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	17c	113.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	1,035	47.9%496 W · 539 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	72c	107.57$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.37	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	110	66.4%73 W · 37 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	627	44.3%278 W · 349 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	55c	99.95$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.98	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	52c	98.28$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.84	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	50c	96.98$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.49	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Under	18c	93.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over	61c	90.98$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.48	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	17c	86.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	890	50%445 W · 445 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under	24c	83.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	31c	80$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.1	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over	64c	78.94$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over	78c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad64…9e67backed Over	53c	69.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over	45c	69.84$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	34c	69.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	223	50.2%112 W · 111 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-5.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	32c	64.28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.71	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	78c	64.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.01	223	66.8%149 W · 74 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	69c	63.01$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.53	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over	65c	61.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	78	65.4%51 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over	71c	61.07$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.71	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e3…32eebacked Under	18c	57.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	60c	55.7$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	443	24.2%107 W · 336 L	-49.5wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over	54c	55.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under	46c	55.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	168	65.5%110 W · 58 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	53c	44.34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	387	48.1%186 W · 201 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	49c	40.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Under	33c	39.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+216.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	46c	39.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	411	47.9%197 W · 214 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	78c	37.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over	44c	31.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Over	79c	31.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	19	89.5%17 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	74cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Under	50c	26.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under	50c	25.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Over	53c	19.21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Over	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5this page
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)CD Castellón won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event