La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x517e5ca381b8b0172237a0970b2be20e0ba43333fed1c1416562a7a04938cb08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,175 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 27c | 1,248$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 803.61$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 614.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 3c | 434.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 335.23$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 203.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 24c | 200.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 74c | 198.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 10c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 142.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 14c | 108$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 88.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 54.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 32c | 51.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 50.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 67c | 27.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 59c | 27.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 63c | 18.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.