La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaecbb8acd3eccd202f2898775373372f734b9876472858f8ed6123080aff120b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 17c | 939.14$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 19c | 611.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Under | 79c | 316.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…7b54backed Under | 74c | 310.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…63ebbacked Over | 26c | 310.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 271.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…82a4backed Over | 25c | 243.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…5e8bbacked Under | 75c | 243.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 23c | 222.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 77c | 187.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 21c | 185.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 79c | 155$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 137.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 15c | 92.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 17c | 77.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 77c | 23.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…1685backed Under | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 78c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.