TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,490 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under40c44,588$17,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,854.576048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c5,510$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.033,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over60c5,300$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c5,103$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over55c4,682$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.7815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over60c3,533$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.4650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c2,849$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.582,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over57c2,185$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.381,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over33c1,406$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.9210629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c1,314$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c731.21$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over54c681.26$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over31c638.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c623$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.045341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over13c490.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c484.38$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3109564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over60c453.02$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under78c415.62$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.191471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over56c406.31$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22720148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c399.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8822939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over49c354.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.656750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over24c300.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.068042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over57c299.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.997236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c214.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.271,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.27852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701a…2cfbbacked Over62c172.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Over51c172.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.461866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under65c147$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.473540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under44c146.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1417032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over60c142.35$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.417753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over60c140.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3420245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over54c138.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over11c133.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c120.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.744424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over60c118.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.116251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under58c102.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over45c97.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.229545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over17c80.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.664641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Over63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44055%22 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over57c79.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over54c79.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.023360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+481.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over60c78.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.872250%11 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Over60c74.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under46c72.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.265054%27 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over58c67.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.633354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c63.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa157…0f04backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over63c59.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4924757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over60c59.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.774062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over56c53.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9428847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaddf…3db9backed Under37c53.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+96.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over60c52.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4611853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…9e67backed Over24c51.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over60c48.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0210947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under66c46.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over61c46.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0918747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Over44c40.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.042035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over30c36.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.089246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.164850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over52c32.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.112128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under67c32.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.462965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…1822backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over59c29.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.172860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb321…6781backed Under45c29.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under73c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Over56c26.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4032…5f22backed Over60c26.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474f…8ec6backed Over63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.752277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over59c24.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.