TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x701a…2cfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$22.91
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$12.17
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.96
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+106.6%+$12.79
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+30.6%+$3.7
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.62
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.4%+$3.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+64.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$27.36
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+154.2%+$26.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.84
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+71.7%+$10.12
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+76.5%+$10.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+124%+$53.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+134.4%+$13.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.06
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+61.6%+$9.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+140.4%+$14.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+107%+$12.09
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.9%+$11
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.4%+$16.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1)backed Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+87.7%+$15.78
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+39.1%+$5.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.