Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c9177a4d5253562dc25787f7fecb4e1f82bf620111ecdf393d07b6c300753d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 163,282$71,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,777.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 42,308$29,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 24,577$14,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 24,458$12,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,633.62 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Over | 0c | 20,226$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 70c | 14,634$10,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 75c | 7,374$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.97 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 5,599$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.6 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 71c | 5,083$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 4,853$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.23 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 2,981$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 39c | 2,866$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.13 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 2,400$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Over | 1c | 1,824$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.6 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 32c | 1,070$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 28c | 1,019$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 34c | 1,011$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 20c | 950.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 37c | 892$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.04 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 31c | 689.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 32c | 607.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 65c | 561.65$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 64c | 525$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 64c | 517.48$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 63c | 510$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 26c | 470.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Under | 77c | 400.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 66c | 399.86$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 78c | 386.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Under | 78c | 374$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked Under | 66c | 324$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…1dfebacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 64c | 299.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 293.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 278.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 262.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 260.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 252.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…61afbacked Over | 38c | 247.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 60c | 239.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 13c | 236$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Over | 37c | 225.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 54c | 220$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 36c | 214.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 63c | 209$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Over | 32c | 187.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 26c | 178.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Under | 62c | 173.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 37c | 165.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 62c | 164.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed Under | 63c | 155.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.