Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5494502e828e693e8b4f6ffb7f3381a4af011c6829aea93366db9fcda7b883d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 64c | 186,316$119,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,060.01 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 78,908$35,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,459.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 25,099$10,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,258.62 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 20,217$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 8,718$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 57c | 7,080$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 6,692$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.52 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 43c | 6,334$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.26 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 43c | 4,652$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 4,160$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.18 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 0c | 3,335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 59c | 2,565$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.35 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 56c | 2,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 56c | 2,425$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.87 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 2,400$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Under | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 2,192$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…f93cbacked Under | 35c | 2,164$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.94 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 30c | 1,800$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 53c | 1,506$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.66 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 1,280$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 1,204$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 56c | 1,179$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Over | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Over | 49c | 901.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 61c | 824.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 56c | 799.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 59c | 760.94$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 55c | 722.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 43c | 710$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 43c | 634.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 42c | 609.17$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 53c | 591.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 39c | 560$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 44c | 525$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 57c | 487.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 49c | 459.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 42c | 440$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 51c | 439.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 58c | 432.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 61c | 420.3$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 41c | 390$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 34c | 384.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 45c | 379.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…3174backed Under | 59c | 373.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 43c | 361.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…e673backed Over | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Over | 58c | 330.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 307.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 54c | 273.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 44c | 272.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Over | 55c | 270.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 258$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 257.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 253$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 43c | 250.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 58c | 250.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 16c | 234.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 58c | 224$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed Under | 36c | 221.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.