Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25dff6b41a5e0a35b439c4ea412f95e2a035485d71f4fe2f0091e443498b052c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FC Kölnof FC Bayern München, 1. FC Köln
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1. FC Köln | 60c | 9,132$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.17 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Köln | 68c | 5,455$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1. FC Köln | 59c | 5,062$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…f9d4backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 2,497$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed 1. FC Köln | 76c | 2,233$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed 1. FC Köln | 62c | 1,876$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 1. FC Köln | 59c | 1,770$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.47 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FC Bayern München | 26c | 1,604$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.14 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed 1. FC Köln | 69c | 1,516$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 1,431$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 21c | 1,407$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 1. FC Köln | 62c | 1,116$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FC Bayern München | 16c | 1,113$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed FC Bayern München | 5c | 1,071$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…a295backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 1,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…8425backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 980$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 932.78$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 873$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 755.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 1. FC Köln | 60c | 699.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 655$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked 1. FC Köln | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FC Bayern München | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 553.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 501.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked 1. FC Köln | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed 1. FC Köln | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d65backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked 1. FC Köln | 60c | 408.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FC Bayern München | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…b8dabacked 1. FC Köln | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed 1. FC Köln | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked FC Bayern München | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed 1. FC Köln | 63c | 330.39$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…2e57backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 253.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abb…484fbacked 1. FC Köln | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 220.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 178$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked 1. FC Köln | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed 1. FC Köln | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 140.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked 1. FC Köln | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 116.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…6229backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked 1. FC Köln | 59c | 104.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 1. FC Köln | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked 1. FC Köln | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 82.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed 1. FC Köln | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 76.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 71.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 69.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 69.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…86b2backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 67.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked 1. FC Köln | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked 1. FC Köln | 76c | 66.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 66.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed 1. FC Köln | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 59.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed 1. FC Köln | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 56.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked 1. FC Köln | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 41.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.