Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec573e5a268dfee07b18716b43b4566d424a66de9f2324b8adcddf77dce52579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 11,825$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 7,077$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 80c | 6,933$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Over | 78c | 3,250$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 73c | 2,550$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 77c | 2,531$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.81 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 32c | 2,105$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.94 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 26c | 1,908$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.56 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 71c | 1,267$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 24c | 1,217$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 25c | 1,158$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,109$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 806.25$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 79c | 634.22$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 79c | 526.33$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 42c | 509.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 80c | 500.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 65c | 335.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 77c | 333.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 22c | 263.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 23c | 262$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 226$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 15c | 215.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 78c | 191.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 78c | 172.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 19c | 97.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 77c | 95.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 74c | 89.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 23c | 81.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 68c | 75.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 71.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…8699backed Over | 77c | 66.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 78c | 63.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 74c | 63.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Over | 79c | 63.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 77c | 60.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…676fbacked Under | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 78c | 49.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 76c | 47.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Under | 25c | 43.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…d81abacked Under | 24c | 42.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Over | 78c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Over | 78c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 74c | 36.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…265dbacked Over | 77c | 34.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afb…2eb5backed Over | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 78c | 29.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…3935backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 63c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 69c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 76c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 76c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 74c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.