TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c10,189$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.322,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under63c9,966$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under66c8,141$5,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.874566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under63c7,302$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.584445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.989952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over37c5,727$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.7616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over37c5,000$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.55052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over37c3,501$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c2,016$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over37c2,013$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.2198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over26c1,912$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf180…c0c8backed Over25c1,861$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under64c1,300$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under63c1,300$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.998052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over27c1,249$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.323020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over36c1,218$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Under62c1,070$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over43c1,050$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under64c987.94$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.963743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over36c934.42$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2472…8d9bbacked Over37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over41c855.61$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over23c611.32$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Over31c506.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over29c503$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over18c456.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under63c444.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Over28c431.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c334.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.571,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over37c281.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c274.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.189937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over42c267.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.089826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under63c249.21$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.211275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Over42c234.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c219$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c193.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under64c155.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Under65c152.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.76580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c151.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over32c149.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.695046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over24c144.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7106…867dbacked Over34c132.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over39c126.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0223353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over32c114$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under59c84.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.073663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d8…bf9fbacked Over31c79.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c79.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over39c77.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354c…864abacked Under72c74.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Under67c68.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.762055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…2c61backed Over34c68.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over35c60.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over38c54.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under64c53.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.134134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under63c52.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over37c49.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.231070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under63c49.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.025246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over38c48.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x843a…8e53backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…0badbacked Under80c44.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89100%9 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under59c42.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.325347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Under63c40.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.815041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Under62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6456…6c6cbacked Under70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…eeeabacked Under57c34.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701a…2cfbbacked Under64c34.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under63c33.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Over37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.218037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Over37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+105%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.243839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda56…1845backed Over35c31.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…6632backed Under76c28.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.