TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c18,816$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,673.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c10,969$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,709.1996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over65c10,274$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,678.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7505518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c4,713$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.4340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over33c4,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.951070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over65c3,267$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.8916046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Over64c2,232$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.448463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over65c2,114$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c2,071$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under67c1,981$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over41c1,841$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.7418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over48c1,554$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.779154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c1,155$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.1793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,027$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over64c999.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.994953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over48c883.84$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Over28c783$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over56c722.9$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.683020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over36c652.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over65c544.94$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under77c497.71$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c477.61$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over48c415.8$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.216043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over69c394$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c386.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3610361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over67c367.06$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over57c366.63$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.817848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over42c357.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under35c348$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under35c342.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c308.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over65c305.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Over39c294.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under35c257.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over64c221.37$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.682050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over64c204.31$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.762259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Over64c186$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c08…8bacbacked Over67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over39c171.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over65c153.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over20c148.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.134535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under35c143.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c136.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over66c125.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.621090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under77c123.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.425100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over64c122.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c119.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under36c117.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.565028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c115.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under36c113.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.615246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Over17c107.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over35c105.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over57c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Under73c99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c96.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Under62c91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.581681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0715259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over30c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under34c82.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over35c81.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3017…1ac7backed Over63c81.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Under43c77.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7511856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6f…5a01backed Over78c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.571070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under74c68.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over64c65.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over67c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5315847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over67c56.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.97065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over66c56.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef86…aa48backed Under34c52.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over40c52.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.