TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9f0…e0a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.4%+$382.34
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+36.7%+$219.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$441
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
SD Huesca vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$558
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$205.9
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$140.54
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$335.96
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,539Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.1%+$1,411.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.2%+$165.86
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$234.5
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.1%+$9.59
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280
SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$272
VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.8%+$168.76
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.2%+$205.9
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53%+$529.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$290
PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+65.1%+$195.39
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.2%+$155.81
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Heracles Almelo vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40.3%+$120.92
Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$106.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+174.7%+$873.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+39.9%+$285
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.