TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c29,031$8,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,078.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No68c22,608$15,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,373.369350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes33c17,544$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,754.234254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c16,057$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,021.1968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No68c12,445$8,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,472.722650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No68c11,727$7,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,974.365736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes32c11,713$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,964.592552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.962748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No68c8,500$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7805550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c7,815$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.2945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No68c7,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No70c4,500$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1503060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7202941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c3,194$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.4396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c2,778$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.911,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No69c2,667$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f9…54dabacked No69c2,573$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c2,168$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.4322348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c2,062$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.4893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No68c1,537$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0458941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No72c1,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.355967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes15c1,000$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+235.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes32c951.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.042123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes31c855.96$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.555642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2232backed Yes52c769.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No51c719.24$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes45c636.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c599$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c542.91$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3456851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c449.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes32c439.08$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No80c393.56$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c387.51$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed No76c382.32$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.563259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes21c366.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.853661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No71c345.07$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes30c340$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2385728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c319.87$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes32c312.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No68c300$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes48c296.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6820749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes23c272.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+129.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c266$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes11c227.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.273737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes52c204.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No68c192.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.672250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes33c181.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.976850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes32c169$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.926349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes24c166.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.883417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes59c165.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes31c149.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3419542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No68c140.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.244257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No54c140.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9511547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No67c135$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No62c130.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.397135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No60c127.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2224238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes29c115.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.325836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No67c115$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No67c112$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes31c106.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.452433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+122.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No33c87.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.765254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No67c86.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.792646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No70c81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.72250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes30c76.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6720741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.256145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes22c75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.415844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.927737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes31c67.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7814347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No53c64.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5215755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc68a…3a1ebacked Yes31c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.213650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.212350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes37c58.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.